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Bochum - Nürnberg

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Match Info

  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Date: 20 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished
  • Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum) 🌤️ ...
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Bochum Nürnberg
    Bochum Nürnberg
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.09 ↓
    (2.16)    		 3.55 ↓
    (3.66)    		 3.32 ↑
    (2.9)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Bochum
    45.1%    		Draw
    26.5%    		Nürnberg
    28.3%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    42.8% 25.3% 31.9%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    44.1% 24.7% 31.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    64% 24% 12%

    Bochum - Nürnberg Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 45.2% – 82.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Bochum (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanyHorn T. (G)
    39. GermanyMorgalla L.
    20. SwitzerlandLoosli N.
      4. SerbiaMasovic E.
    32. GermanyWittek M.
    34. GermanyLenz C.
    24. GermanyPannewig M.
    16. NorthernMarshall C.
    21. GermanyOnyeka F.
    29. GermanyAlfa-Ruprecht F.
    33. GermanyHofmann P.
    		  1. GermanyReichert J. (G)
    27. Germanyvon der Hitz J.
      4. PeruGruber F.
    24. GeorgiaLochoshvili L.
    21. TurkeyYilmaz B.
      6. FinlandMarkhiev A.
    22. FranceNzingoula R.
      5. GermanyBaack T.
    10. GermanyJustvan J.
    33. GermanyGrimaldi A.
    23. ItalyZoma M. A.
    Substitutes
    19. SlovakiaBero M.
    37. ItalyCrimaldi A.
    35. GermanyKoscierski K.
    11. GermanyKwarteng M.
    13. DenmarkOlsen O.
    18. NorwayRakneberg M.
    22. GermanyThiede N. (G)
      7. GermanyVogt K.
      8. GermanyWatjen K.
    		25. GermanyBecker F. O.
    20. SpainFernandez J.
    32. GermanyJanisch T.
    37. RepublicMaboulou N.
    26. GermanyMathenia C. (G)
    44. ArmeniaMkrtchyan S.
    41. GermanyPorstner E.
    39. GermanyScobel P.
    16. GermanySoldic M.
    Coaches
         GermanyRosler U.
    		     GermanyKlose M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 17', Morgalla L. ↓, Olsen O. ↑,
    • 23', Wittek M. 🟨,
    • 25', Markhiev A. 🟨,
    • 38', 0 - 1, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Baack T. (A),
    • 43', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 54', Nzingoula R. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
    • 63', Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
    • 72', 1 - 1, Onyeka F. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 81', Zoma M. A. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
    • 82', Grimaldi A. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
    • 83', Wittek M. ↓, Bero M. ↑,
    • 83', Lenz C. ↓, Rakneberg M. ↑,
    • 87', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Bochum is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Ankle Injury) Miyoshi K. (Yellow Cards) Rosch R. (Inactive) Sissoko I. (Injury) Strompf P. (Yellow Cards)
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.6:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    2Nurnberg953121:12918
    10Bochum103258:11-311

    Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now
    Nurnberg: 7.18% Bochum: 1.44%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - VfL Bochum
    German 2 Bundesliga
    15.02.26 Bochum - Paderborn 0:0 ✺
    06.02.26 Preußen Münster - Bochum 1:1 ✺
    31.01.26 Bochum - Schalke 04 2:0 ✺
    25.01.26 Elversberg - Bochum 1:1 ✺
    18.01.26 Bochum - Darmstadt 3:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4
    TTWTT
    - 1. FC Nürnberg
    German 2 Bundesliga
    13.02.26 Nürnberg - Karlsruher 5:1 ✺
    07.02.26 Paderborn - Nürnberg 2:1 ✺
    30.01.26 Nürnberg - Preußen Münster 1:1 ✺
    23.01.26 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 2:0 ✺
    17.01.26 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5
    WLTLW
    Latest Head to Head
    German 2 Bundesliga
    20.09.25 Nürnberg - Bochum 2:1
    16.05.21 Nürnberg - Bochum 1:1
    16.01.21 Bochum - Nürnberg 3:1
    30.05.20 Nürnberg - Bochum 0:0
    04.11.19 Bochum - Nürnberg 3:1
    25.02.18 Bochum - Nürnberg 0:0
    21.09.17 Nürnberg - Bochum 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Nürnberg
    German 2 Bundesliga
    01.11.26 St. Pauli - Nürnberg ✺

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