Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Bochum		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.73	3.46
	2.08	3.65	3.35	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.25
	2.07	3.5	3.34	Watch
	2.14	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.16)	3.55 ↓ (3.66)	3.32 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
45.1%

Draw
26.5%

Nürnberg
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	24%	12%

Bochum - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bochum (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 20. Loosli N. 4. Masovic E. 32. Wittek M. 34. Lenz C. 24. Pannewig M. 16. Marshall C. 21. Onyeka F. 29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Reichert J. (G) 27. von der Hitz J. 4. Gruber F. 24. Lochoshvili L. 21. Yilmaz B. 6. Markhiev A. 22. Nzingoula R. 5. Baack T. 10. Justvan J. 33. Grimaldi A. 23. Zoma M. A.
Substitutes
19. Bero M. 37. Crimaldi A. 35. Koscierski K. 11. Kwarteng M. 13. Olsen O. 18. Rakneberg M. 22. Thiede N. (G) 7. Vogt K. 8. Watjen K.	25. Becker F. O. 20. Fernandez J. 32. Janisch T. 37. Maboulou N. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 44. Mkrtchyan S. 41. Porstner E. 39. Scobel P. 16. Soldic M.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Morgalla L. ↓, Olsen O. ↑,
23', Wittek M. 🟨,
25', Markhiev A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Baack T. (A),
43', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Nzingoula R. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
63', Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Onyeka F. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Zoma M. A. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
82', Grimaldi A. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
83', Wittek M. ↓, Bero M. ↑,
83', Lenz C. ↓, Rakneberg M. ↑,
87', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bochum is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Ankle Injury) Miyoshi K. (Yellow Cards) Rosch R. (Inactive) Sissoko I. (Injury) Strompf P. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Nurnberg: 17.78% Bochum: 1.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	7	5	2	0	20:10	10	17
11	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5:6	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.26	Bochum - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Preußen Münster - Bochum	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Bochum - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Elversberg - Bochum	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bochum - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWTT
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
13.02.26	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	5:1 ✺
07.02.26	Paderborn - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Nürnberg - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Nürnberg - Elversberg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Nürnberg - Bochum	2:1
16.05.21	Nürnberg - Bochum	1:1
16.01.21	Bochum - Nürnberg	3:1
30.05.20	Nürnberg - Bochum	0:0
04.11.19	Bochum - Nürnberg	3:1
25.02.18	Bochum - Nürnberg	0:0
21.09.17	Nürnberg - Bochum	3:1

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