Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Elversberg		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3	3.9	2.15
	2.85	3.75	2.2	Watch
	3.01	4	2.27
	2.96	3.83	2.22	Watch
	2.8	3.9	2.15	Watch
	2.97	3.8	2.21	Watch
	2.85	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.33)	3.82 ↓ (3.88)	2.2 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elversberg
32.3%

Draw
24.8%

Hamburger SV
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

24.4%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

24.1%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	5.3%	68.4%

Elversberg - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 2. Baum E. 19. Pinckert L. 31. Rohr M. 33. Neubauer M. 25. Petkov L. 6. Fellhauer R. (C) 23. Sickinger C. 30. Damar M. 10. Asllani F. 24. Schnellbacher L.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Perrin L. 8. Elfadli D. 28. Muheim M. 23. Meffert J. 33. Katterbach N. 14. Reis L. (C) 20. Richter M. 7. Dompe J. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 27. Selke D.
Substitutes
28. Boss T. (G) 11. Durholtz L. 7. Feil M. 27. Gerezgiher F. 18. Mahmoud M. 17. Schmahl F. 26. Sicker A. 21. Stock P. 29. Zimmerschied T.	45. Balde F. 3. Heyer M. 18. Jatta B. 17. Karabec A. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 21. Oztunali L. 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G)
Coaches
Steffen H.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Asllani F. ⚽, Pinckert L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Asllani F. ⚽,
56', Reis L. 🟨,
63', Richter M. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
63', Katterbach N. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
63', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Petkov L. ⚽,
74', Dompe J. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
74', Reis L. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
76', Meffert J. 🟨,
80', Petkov L. ↓, Feil M. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Selke D. ⚽,
84', Meffert J. 🟨,
87', Damar M. ↓, Stock P. ↑,
87', Schnellbacher L. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
90', Asllani F. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
90+1', Kristof N. 🟨,
90+5', Heyer M. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 2, Fellhauer R. ⚽,
90+9', Karabec A. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4).

Recent matches Elversberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Jakel F. (Knee Injury) Le Joncour F. (Elbow Injury) Sahin S. (Health problems)

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Thigh Injury) Schonlau S. (Red Card) Zumberi V. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Elversberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Preußen Münster - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Elversberg - Kaiserslautern	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	1:4 ✺
22.09.24	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
15.09.24	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWLT
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
20.10.24	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Hamburger SV - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
06.10.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.02.24	Hamburger SV - Elversberg	1:0
16.09.23	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	2:1

Upcoming Matches