Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Ostia Mare		Pianese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.20	2.95
	2.15	3.15	3.1	Watch
	2.33	3.26	3.09
	2.18	3.27	3.09	Watch
	2.19	3.15	3
	2.11	3.14	3.16
	2.15	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.15)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
41.9%

Draw
28.5%

Pianese
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ostia Mare - Pianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 13th and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Ostia Mare is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ostia Mare has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ostia Mare against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Ostiamare	8	2	2	4	9:10	-1	8
18	Pianese	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Pianese - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.26	Latina - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Ostia Mare - Forlì	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gubbio - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Ostia Mare - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWLL
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.26	Pianese - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Livorno - Pianese	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sassari Torres - Pianese	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pianese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
23.04.23	Pianese - Ostia Mare	0:3
13.06.21	Ostia Mare - Pianese	2:2
07.02.21	Pianese - Ostia Mare	1:0

Ostia Mare - Pianese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide