Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Den Dreef (Heverlee) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Staessens B. (Bel)


	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Eupen

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.8	Watch
	1.83	3.9	3.9
	1.85	4	3.75	Watch
	1.86	3.98	4.15
	1.84	3.98	4.15
	1.8	3.8	3.7
	1.82	3.94	3.86	Watch
	1.8	4.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	3.95 ↑ (3.7)	3.91 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
51.8%

Draw
24%

Eupen
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

23.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	40%	13.3%

Oud Heverlee Leuven - Eupen Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Eupen will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leysen T. (G) 23. Schingtienne J. 28. Pletinckx E. 18. Miguel F. 52. Sagrado R. 8. Schrijvers S. (C) 88. Maziz Y. 43. Nsingi N. 11. Banzuzi E. 7. Thorsteinsson J. 9. Brunes J.	24. Slonina G. (G) 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. 25. Filin A. 14. Deom J. 15. Magnee G. 6. Baiye B. 3. Davidson J. 18. Keita A. 8. Mohwald K. 7. Nuhu I.
Substitutes
33. Maertens M. 19. Mueanta S. 15. Ndri K. 5. Ngawa P. 21. Opoku N. 16. Prevot M. (G) 3. Shlomo R.	23. Christie-Davies I. 27. Finnbogason A. 26. Niang P. 44. Renner J. (G) 99. Roufosse T. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y. 34. Youndje K.
Coaches
Garcia O.	Kohfeldt F.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leuven won 0.

Leuven is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eupen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eupen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Leuven have a series of guest games.

In this match Leuven is a favorite.

There will not play in Leuven: Calut A. (Knee Injury) Ricca F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Eupen: Alloh T. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Lambert B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leuven: Taildeman M. (Injury) Vlietinck T. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Leuven won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Leuven won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.12.23	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4:0 ✺
16.12.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
06.12.23	Knokke - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:2 penalties ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.12.23	Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.12.23	Eupen - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	Westerlo - Eupen	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Eupen - Genk	1:3 ✺
02.12.23	Eupen - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Cercle Brugge - Eupen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.08.23	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1
17.01.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eupen	1:1
18.10.22	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4:2
06.03.22	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1
21.08.21	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eupen	1:4
06.03.21	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:3
10.08.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eupen	1:1

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