Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Oulu		VJS Vantaa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	5.25	6.25
	1.23	6	8.2
	1.21	6.57	8.17
	1.22	6.48	8.53	Watch
	1.36	4.8	6
	1.2	6.35	9
	1.23	6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	5.92 ↑ (5.61)	7.76 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
72.8%

Draw
15.4%

VJS Vantaa
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

16.3%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

15.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oulu's performance.

VJS Vantaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VJS Vantaa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oulu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VJS Vantaa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VJS Vantaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Oulu - VJS Vantaa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oulu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Oulu will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eskelinen W. (G) 10. Barrow D. 18. Cassama A. 4. Jatta M. 14. Jokelainen N. (C) 26. Korkko J. 3. Lehtonen J. 25. Merikanto E. 37. Paananen J. 5. Pitkanen M. 6. Silas C.	1. Muurinen T. (G) 22. Blommendahl O. 30. Horii T. 77. Kangasmaa N. 50. Klen T. 29. Koivunen K. 4. Marin M. (C) 17. Merinen J. 7. Nurmi K. 11. Rahja J. 20. Saksinen O.
Substitutes
22. Kaukua T. 33. Koskela M. 15. Parkkila O. 12. Pentti J. (G) 9. Rennicks J. 29. Silander S.	2. Auramo R. 26. Hyvarinen S. 60. Johansson J. 10. Jurvanen V. 18. Ossi J. 47. Salo V. 14. Uzun E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Nurmi K. ⚽,
43', Horii T. 🟨,
44', Blommendahl O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cassama A. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Korkko J. ⚽,
57', Merinen J. ↓, Uzun E. ↑,
57', Kangasmaa N. ↓, Ossi J. ↑,
60', Barrow D. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
60', Jokelainen N. ↓, Kaukua T. ↑,
64', Silas C. 🟨,
74', Nurmi K. 🟨,
77', Nurmi K. ↓, Salo V. ↑,
77', Silander S. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Silas C. ⚽,
90+2', Lehtonen J. ↓, Koskela M. ↑,
90+5', Koskela M. 🟨,
90+5', Koivunen K. 🟨,
90+5', Barrow D. 🟥,

Preview

Recent performances by Oulu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

VJS is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Oulu is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oulu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.05.25	Ilves - Oulu	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Oulu - IFK Mariehamn	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Oulu - Gnistan	2:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	JS Hercules - Oulu	1:5 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.25	KTP Kotka - Oulu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLLWW
- VJS Vantaa
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
23.05.25	VJS Vantaa - MYPA	3:2 ✺
18.05.25	Grankulla IFK - VJS Vantaa	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Honka - VJS Vantaa	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	VJS Vantaa - NJS	2:0 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
03.05.25	VJS Vantaa - Vaajakoski	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
25.06.24	VJS Vantaa - Oulu	0:2

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