The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oulu 43.7%
Draw 27.1%
Gnistan 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
25.9%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
26.9%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Oulu - Gnistan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Gnistan (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 18. Cassama A. 25. Arsalo M. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 21. Mendolin I. 10. Triana C. 9. Riski Ro. 22. Kaukua T.
1. Virtanen O. (G) 19. Milovanov B. 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 3. Ruxi 12. Arko-Mensah E. 7. Atarah A. 31. Jouhi A. 15. Europaeus G. 23. Ylatupa S. 10. Latonen J.
Substitutes
11. Ghezali L. 14. Jokelainen N. 27. Kallio E. 3. Lietsa A. 8. Ojala M. 6. Paananen J. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.
2. Dahlstrom B. 26. Eremenko R. 14. Eremenko S. 27. Hannula O. 45. Launiala K. 13. Lyberopoulos O. (G) 25. Rossi N.
Coaches
Isokangas M.
Leppalahti J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Jouhi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Milovanov B. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Ylatupa S. ⚽, Ruxi (A),
60', Ylatupa S. ↓, Eremenko R. ↑,
61', Triana C. ↓, Ghezali L. ↑,
70', Latonen J. ↓, Hannula O. ↑,
71', Ghezali L. ↓, Kallio E. ↑,
71', Kaukua T. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
71', Arsalo M. ↓, Paananen J. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Paananen J. ⚽,
77', Gnanou R. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Eremenko R. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Kemppainen O. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,
86', Atarah A. ↓, Eremenko S. ↑,
90', Paananen J. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1.
Recent form of Oulu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gnistan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Oulu: Omotayo J.
(Inactive)
Tiihonen O.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E.
(Knee Injury)
Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Launiala K.
(Inactive)
Lyberopoulos O.
(Illness)
Marcelo Costa
(Inactive)
Perez D.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
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Santos M. (G) 
Kemppainen O. 
Cassama A. 
Triana C. 
Milovanov B. 
Gnanou R. 
Obileye A. (C) 
Ruxi 
Arko-Mensah E. 
Ghezali L. 
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