Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 11

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Oulu		IFK Mariehamn

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.00	Watch
	1.39	4.80	7.25
	1.37	4.50	7.50	Watch
	1.39	5.24	8.38
	1.37	5.2	7.53	Watch
	1.36	4.60	7.50
	1.38	4.83	7.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	4.85 ↑ (4.73)	7.52 ↑ (7.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oulu
68.2%

Draw
19.3%

IFK Mariehamn
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19.5%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Oulu - IFK Mariehamn Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oulu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Oulu will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 2. Sipola S. 3. Lietsa A. 66. Pirinen J. (C) 22. Kaukua T. 21. Mendolin I. 7. Karjalainen R. 6. Paananen J. 11. Ghezali L. 26. Korkko J. 27. Kallio E.	1. Lund K. (G) 28. Nissinen J. 38. Amankwah Y. 2. Nurmi N. 31. Ngulube S. 20. Patut E. 18. Stroud A. 10. Dahlstrom S. (C) 16. Huttunen A. 11. Pearce L. 7. Larsson A.
Substitutes
18. Cassama A. 4. Ilola L. 20. Jatta K. 14. Jokelainen N. 32. Kone A. 30. Makelainen J. 8. Ojala M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S.	43. Andersson L. 6. Dosis N. 64. Hyvonen M. 5. Koivisto T. 4. Lindgren P. 32. Riikonen M. (G) 3. Soiniemi A.
Coaches
Isokangas M.	Bjorknesjo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Dahlstrom S. 🟨,
17', Patut E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ghezali L. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
58', Huttunen A. ↓, Dosis N. ↑,
58', Larsson A. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
58', Stroud A. ↓, Hyvonen M. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Hyvonen M. ⚽, Pearce L. (A),
66', Mendolin I. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
73', Pearce L. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Korkko J. ⚽, Karjalainen R. (A),
77', Pearce L. ↓, Soiniemi A. ↑,
77', Bjorknesjo R. 🟨,
78', Kallio E. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
80', Hyvonen M. 🟨,
82', Dosis N. 🟨,
90', Karjalainen R. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Kone A. ⚽, Korkko J. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1.

Oulu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mariehamn has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Oulu is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Oulu: Pitkanen M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mariehamn: Bergvik A. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

AC Oulu: 0.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.06.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Oulu - FF Jaro	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	SJK - Oulu	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Oulu - TPS	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Ilves - Oulu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWL
- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.06.26	IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - Lahti	0:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.26	FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.10.25	IFK Mariehamn - Oulu	2:0
26.07.25	IFK Mariehamn - Oulu	0:1
17.05.25	Oulu - IFK Mariehamn	0:1
19.10.24	Oulu - IFK Mariehamn	1:2
01.09.24	IFK Mariehamn - Oulu	2:1
17.05.24	Oulu - IFK Mariehamn	1:1
16.09.23	Oulu - IFK Mariehamn	3:2

Upcoming Matches