Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ourense CF		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4
	1.95	3.05	3.9
	1.98	3.13	4.02
	1.96	3.22	4.01	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	1.91	3.04	4.05
	1.9	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.83)	3.05 ↓ (3.11)	3.94 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
47%

Draw
29.9%

Cacereño
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

29.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

28.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Ourense CF - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 2. Coto E. 14. Perez A. 4. Carmona F. 3. Sanz H. 21. Guerrero A. 24. Moreno C. 6. Castillo N. 16. Munoz D. 11. Aranzabe A. 7. Bouzaig A.	1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 3. Barrio J. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 5. de Diego J. 17. Berlanga M. 6. Conesa N. 10. Hyjek J. 24. Valdera R. 25. Vazquez K. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
20. Gueye L. 12. Jelbat A. 10. Ochoa M. 5. Prado M. 23. Punzano I. 18. Rabadan D. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 9. Sergio Benito 22. Yuste A.	21. Alonso J. 4. Crespo A. 8. Deco 7. Fernandez I. 19. Gomez C. 20. Gonzalez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 13. Quevedo A. (G) 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Carmona F. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽,
45+2', Valdera R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Munoz D. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
63', Perez A. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
65', Vazquez K. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
71', Moreno C. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
71', Aranzabe A. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
73', Fernandez I. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', Castillo N. ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
83', Berlanga M. ↓, Crespo A. ↑,
88', 🟨,
89', Conesa N. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
89', Valdera R. ↓, Sanchidrian R. ↑,
89', Gomez D. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Ourense CF is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.01.26	Ourense CF - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ponferradina - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Lugo - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.12.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.01.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cacereño - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
12.12.25	Cacereño - Zamora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Cacereño - Ourense CF	0:0

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