Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Ourense CF		Choco

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.6	3.3	4.6
	1.58	3.4	4.9
	1.61	3.47	4.9
	1.63	3.62	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 (1.6)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	4.89 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
55.9%

Draw
25.8%

Choco
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

21.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Choco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choco than the current prediction. (-4%)

Ourense CF - Choco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 12).

Ourense CF is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Choco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Choco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ourense CF to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.12.21	Atlético Arnoia - Ourense CF	0:3 ✺
18.12.21	RC Villalbes - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
15.12.21	Ourense CF - Arzúa	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Ourense CF - Rápido de Bouzas	0:0 ✺
08.12.21	Estradense - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTTW
- CD Choco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.01.22	Choco - Polvorín	2:1 ✺
18.12.21	Noia - Choco	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Choco - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Rápido de Bouzas - Choco	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Choco - Estradense	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.11.20	Ourense CF - Choco	0:1
07.10.18	Ourense CF - Choco	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Ourense CF - Choco	0:1

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