Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Ourense CF		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.75
	1.87	3.2	4.51
	1.88	3.1	4.51
	2.05	3	3.25
	1.83	3.2	4.31
	1.71	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)	3.24 ↑ (3)	4.3 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
50.3%

Draw
28.3%

Rayo Cantabria
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ourense CF's performance.

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Cantabria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Cantabria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ourense CF - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.01.24	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Real Oviedo B - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ourense CF - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Coruxo - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Ourense CF - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTLW
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.01.24	Compostela - Rayo Cantabria	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Rayo Cantabria - Covadonga	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Arandina - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Zamora - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.09.23	Rayo Cantabria - Ourense CF	1:1
22.01.23	Rayo Cantabria - Ourense CF	1:2
04.09.22	Ourense CF - Rayo Cantabria	1:2

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