Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Ourense CF		Arandina

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.2	5.25
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.6	3.1	5
	1.72	3.03	6.04
	1.72	3.24	5.29
	1.9	3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.39)	3.16 ↓ (3.75)	5.11 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
53.3%

Draw
28.9%

Arandina
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

23.8%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

22.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ourense CF - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Ourense CF is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arandina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arandina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.01.24	Marino de Luanco - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Ourense CF - Rayo Cantabria	3:0 ✺
06.01.24	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Real Oviedo B - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ourense CF - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTT
- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.01.24	Arandina - Compostela	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Covadonga - Arandina	2:1 ✺
10.01.24	Arandina - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Arandina - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.12.23	Marino de Luanco - Arandina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.09.23	Arandina - Ourense CF	0:0

Upcoming Matches