Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 35

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday


	Oxford City		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.3
	2.5	3.5	2.25
	2.7	3.75	2.3	Watch
	2.67	3.7	2.25
	2.8	3.93	2.31
	2.67	3.62	2.3
	2.65	3.65	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.25)	3.71 ↑ (3.65)	2.28 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
34.6%

Draw
24.9%

Eastleigh
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

25.4%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

23.4%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eastleigh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Oxford City - Eastleigh Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Eastleigh will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford City: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Watson T. (G) 4. Ashby J. 2. Burley A. 8. Fleet R. (C) 11. Greenslade H. 23. Kabongolo B. 14. Parker J. 3. Phillips G. 6. Roddy J. 15. Smith R. 18. William-Bushell A.	1. McDonnell J. (G) 4. Atangana N. 6. Francillette L. 14. Hodson L. 12. Langston G. 9. McCallum P. 16. Nwabuokei S. 20. Quigley S. 7. Reeves B. 21. Rutherford O. 8. Taylor J. (C)
Substitutes
7. Coyle L. 17. Fonkeu P. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 27. Lumeka L. 16. Potter A.	11. Boldewijn E. 15. Croll L. 18. Longe-King D. 17. Maguire C. 13. Scott T. (G)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Oxford City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eastleigh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
17.02.24	Oxford City - Southend United	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Oxford City	7:1 ✺
06.02.24	Woking - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLLW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
17.02.24	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Eastleigh - Fylde	1:2 ✺
06.02.24	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Eastleigh - Chesterfield	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Altrincham - Eastleigh	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.09.23	Eastleigh - Oxford City	2:2
English FA Cup
12.10.13	Eastleigh - Oxford City	2:3

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