Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 34

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Oxford City		Southend United

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.44
	5.75	4.2	1.42
	6.5	4.5	1.44
	5.9	4.45	1.41
	6.93	4.78	1.43
	6	4.2	1.4
	6.57	4.5	1.42
	6.2	4.4	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.36 ↑ (5.91)	4.44 ↑ (4.34)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
14.5%

Draw
20.7%

Southend United
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

21.4%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

19.8%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southend United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oxford City - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Watson T. 4. Ashby J. 2. Burley A. 8. Fleet R. (C) 11. Greenslade H. 23. Kabongolo B. 14. Parker J. 3. Phillips G. 6. Roddy J. 15. Smith R. 18. William-Bushell A.	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 7. Bridge J. 9. Cardwell H. 5. Crowther A. 18. Fonguck W. 8. Husin N. 6. Kensdale O. 17. Miley C. 3. Ralph N. (C) 19. Sandat H. 2. Scott-Morriss G.
Substitutes
7. Coyle L. 17. Fonkeu P. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 27. Lumeka L. 16. Potter A.	15. Dackers M. 24. Demetriou J. 23. Morton 10. Waldron D. 14. Wood J.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Oxford City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Southend is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Southend could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Southend is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
10.02.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Oxford City	7:1 ✺
06.02.24	Woking - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Oxford City - York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Southend United
English National League
10.02.24	Southend United - York City	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Southend United - Gateshead	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Chesterfield - Southend United	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Eastleigh - Southend United	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Southend United - Halifax Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.10.23	Southend United - Oxford City	2:0

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