Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.61
	4.2	3.8	1.64
	4.34	4.51	1.63
	4.54	4.2	1.65
	4.6	3.6	1.65
	4.93	4	1.59
	4.2	3.8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↓ (5.31)	3.94 ↓ (4.28)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
20.6%

Draw
23.2%

Forest Green Rovers
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

21.6%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

21.3%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forest Green Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Oxford City - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Forest Green will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Parker J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent matches Oxford City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Forest Green could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Forest Green have a series of home games.

In this match Forest Green is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
28.01.25	Oxford City - Curzon Ashton	0:5 ✺
25.01.25	Oxford City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Chorley - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.01.25	Biggleswade Town - Oxford City	0:3 ✺
English National League North
01.01.25	Oxford City - Brackley Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTWL
- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
25.01.25	Altrincham - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
21.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Blackburn Rovers U21	4:2 ✺
English National League
18.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
14.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Barnet	0:0 ✺
08.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTT

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