Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 45

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Oxford City		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.4
	6.25	4.4	1.38
	7	4.75	1.4
	7.01	4.73	1.42
	7.01	4.73	1.42
	6.07	4.75	1.44
	5.8	4.6	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↑ (4.9)	4.64 ↑ (4.23)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
14.4%

Draw
19.9%

Oldham Athletic
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

21.5%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

19.2%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Oxford City - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Watson T. (G) 4. Ashby J. 2. Burley A. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. (C) 11. Greenslade H. 29. O'Connell C. 3. Phillips G. 16. Potter A. 6. Roddy J. 18. William-Bushell A.	13. Hudson M. (G) 29. Dallas A. 19. Gardner D. 4. Hogan L. 20. Hope H. 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 17. McGahey H. 30. Norwood J. 16. Raglan C. 2. Sachdev S.
Substitutes
21. Birtwistle H. 23. Kabongolo B. 30. Krasniqi E. 10. McEachran Z. 22. Moore T.	32. Conlon T. 24. Garner J. 5. Hobson S. 1. Norman M. (G) 14. Sheron N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Dallas A. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
56', Kitching M. ↓, Conlon T. ↑,
69', Lundstram J. ↓, Sheron N. ↑,
70', Coyle L. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
70', 🟨,
77', Roddy J. ↓, McEachran Z. ↑,
90', Potter A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Oxford City is Relegated to

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Oxford City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oldham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
01.04.24	Barnet - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	Oxford City - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Fylde - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Oxford City - Halifax Town	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Chesterfield - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL
- Oldham Athletic
English National League
06.04.24	Oldham Athletic - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Altrincham - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Oldham Athletic - Fylde	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Oxford City	4:0

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