Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 38

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Oldham Athletic		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.25	3.25	3.15
	2.29	3.22	3.21
	2.36	3.04	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.34	3.16	3.06
	2.25	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)	3.15 ↓ (3.34)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
40.9%

Draw
29.4%

Rochdale
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Oldham Athletic - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rochdale will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Donaghy T. (G) 20. Caprice J. 10. Conlon T. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 3. Kitching M. 34. Leake J. 2. Ogle R. 4. Pett T. 16. Raglan C. 15. Rossiter J. 18. Waters B.	13. Waller S. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 27. Bird J. 19. Burger J. 8. Gilmour H. (C) 26. Hogan L. 28. Kingdon J. 9. Mitchell K.
Substitutes
13. Dennis J. (G) 26. Harratt K. 5. Hobson S. 30. Norwood J. 17. Uchegbulam J. 22. Worthington M. 28. Yoganathan V.	11. Adu Poku M. 15. Ayinde L. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. 40. Henderson I. 12. Kelly B. 21. McBride C. 31. Weston C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bird J. ⚽,
31', Pett T. 🟨,
35', Conlon T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pett T. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
46', Ogle R. ↓, Hobson S. ↑,
58', Waters B. ↓, Uchegbulam J. ↑,
69', Bird J. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
75', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
75', Allarakhia T. ↓, Ebanks-Landell E. ↑,
75', Conlon T. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Yoganathan V. ⚽,
86', Barlow A. ↓, Ayinde L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oldham won 3.

Recent matches Oldham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Rochdale have a series of home games.

Oldham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Oldham won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:15 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.96%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
11.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Tamworth - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Boston United - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	0:3 ✺
22.02.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTTLT
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
11.03.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Rochdale - Wealdstone	4:1 ✺
04.03.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.03.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	2:0 ✺
English National League
25.02.25	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.02.25	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	0:1
06.04.24	Oldham Athletic - Rochdale	1:1
21.10.23	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	3:4
English League Two
29.01.22	Oldham Athletic - Rochdale	0:0
25.09.21	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	0:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Oldham Athletic - Rochdale	2:3
English EFL Trophy
11.12.18	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	2:0

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