Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Oxford City		Solihull Moors

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.15
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.95	3.6	2.2
	3.03	3.64	2.27
	2.97	3.7	2.28
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	2.97	3.5	2.18
	2.85	3.45	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.39)	3.51 ↓ (3.57)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
31.9%

Draw
26.3%

Solihull Moors
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.1%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

24.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Solihull Moors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Oxford City - Solihull Moors Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Solihull will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford City: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bycroft J. (G) 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. (C) 5. Kirby N. 10. McEachran Z. 22. Moore T. 14. Parker J. 12. Roberts M. 9. Sanderson O.	32. Hayes N. (G) 9. Beck M. 18. Benton J. 2. Clarke J. 27. Craig K. 10. Kelly J. 12. Mafuta G. 6. Morrison K. 4. Osborne J. (C) 11. Warburton M. 35. Whitmore A.
Substitutes
20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 27. Lumeka L. 16. Potter A. 6. Roddy J. 18. William-Bushell A.	21. Barratt C. 23. Howell F. 8. Maycock C. 19. Stearman R. 14. Stevens J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1.

Oxford City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Solihull is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Solihull could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
16.12.23	Boreham Wood - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
English National League
02.12.23	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	1:4 ✺
25.11.23	Oxford City - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	York City - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Solihull Moors
English National League
16.12.23	Solihull Moors - Oldham Athletic	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.12.23	Scunthorpe United - Solihull Moors	0:2 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Altrincham - Solihull Moors	6:1 ✺
21.11.23	Solihull Moors - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	Solihull Moors - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.09.23	Solihull Moors - Oxford City	3:3
English FA Cup
09.11.19	Oxford City - Solihull Moors	1:5
English National League North
11.10.14	Oxford City - Solihull Moors	1:4
23.08.14	Solihull Moors - Oxford City	2:3
28.12.13	Oxford City - Solihull Moors	0:2
20.08.13	Solihull Moors - Oxford City	2:2
30.03.13	Oxford City - Solihull Moors	1:2

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