Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	York City		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.4
	1.88	3.4	3.3
	1.95	3.75	3.5
	2.04	3.87	3.37
	2.04	3.87	3.37
	1.65	3.8	4
	1.93	3.7	3.42
	1.96	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.73)	3.7 ↓ (3.95)	3.46 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
48.2%

Draw
25%

Oxford City
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

23.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

22.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

York City - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 9. Akinyemi D. 20. Burgess S. 5. Cordner T. 7. Davies W. 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 39. Green O. 15. Howe C. 11. Kouhyar Q. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 30. Woodyard A.	26. Bycroft J. (G) 19. Carroll C. (C) 7. Coyle L. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 21. Kpekawa C. 10. McEachran Z. 11. McQueen A. 22. Moore T. 12. Roberts M. 9. Sanderson O. 15. Smith R.
Substitutes
8. Dyson O. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 21. Kennedy K. 23. Siziba Z. 35. Watson R. (G)	8. Fleet R. 5. Kirby N. 3. Miccio L. 24. Ofosu C. 18. William-Bushell A.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Oxford City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match York is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
18.11.23	York City - Hartlepool United	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	York City - Chester	2:1 ✺
English National League
11.11.23	Fylde - York City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Chester - York City	0:0 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	York City - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTT
- Oxford City
English National League
18.11.23	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	0:4 ✺
11.11.23	Oxford City - Woking	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Oxford City - Barnet	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Wealdstone - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bromley - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLL

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