Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Oxford City		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.75	2.45
	2.54	3.75	2.52
	2.55	3.75	2.42
	2.3	3.5	2.45
	2.49	3.6	2.49
	2.44	3.5	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.01)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	2.47 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
37.5%

Draw
25.4%

Chelmsford City
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

25.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

27%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford City's form might have worsened.

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelmsford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelmsford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oxford City - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 35-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
02.12.23	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	1:4 ✺
25.11.23	Oxford City - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	York City - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	0:4 ✺
11.11.23	Oxford City - Woking	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTLWW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
02.12.23	Bath City - Chelmsford City	2:3 ✺
25.11.23	Chelmsford City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
20.11.23	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Harborough Town - Chelmsford City	0:2 ✺
English National League South
13.11.23	Aveley - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
10.04.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	3:1
12.09.22	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	1:0
26.02.22	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	1:2
23.10.21	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	1:1
13.02.21	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	4:1
10.10.20	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	1:1
16.11.19	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	2:6

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