Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Boreham Wood		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.42	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.9	7
	1.42	4.9	7
	1.33	4.8	6.5
	1.39	4.65	6.8
	1.41	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.52)	4.65 ↑ (4.04)	6.53 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
66%

Draw
19.9%

Oxford City
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

22.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

21.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boreham Wood's performance.

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boreham Wood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Boreham Wood - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boreham Wood will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Oxford City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boreham Wood: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashmore N. (G) 5. Bush Ch. 25. Clarke J. 2. Coxe C. 3. Ilesanmi F. 10. Marsh T. 9. Ndlovu L. 4. Payne J. 22. Sass-Davies B. 19. Sousa E. 7. Whelan T.	26. Bycroft J. (G) 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. (C) 5. Kirby N. 10. McEachran Z. 14. Parker J. 12. Roberts M. 15. Smith R. 18. William-Bushell A.
Substitutes
14. Balanta A. 23. Clayden C. 24. Robinson M. 8. Sagaf M. 6. Stephens D.	20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 11. McQueen A. 23. Ofosu C. 16. Potter A. 9. Sanderson O.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Oxford City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boreham Wood is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Boreham Wood won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Bath City - Boreham Wood	1:0 ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Boreham Wood - Woking	4:2 ✺
21.11.23	Eastleigh - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Dorking Wanderers - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Boreham Wood - Bromley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLT
- Oxford City
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
English National League
02.12.23	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	1:4 ✺
25.11.23	Oxford City - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	York City - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.08.23	Oxford City - Boreham Wood	4:0

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