The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 54.3%
Draw 24.4%
AFC Wimbledon 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
26.6%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
15.2%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-22.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oxford United - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 17).
Oxford has the most likely position - 5 (12.27%), has project points - 80, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Wimbledon has the most likely position - 14 (8.7%), has project points - 58, has currently - 25, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Oxford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wimbledon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Wimbledon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Oxford is a favorite.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Oxford won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 36-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-8.
Watch
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