Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Australia	beIN Sports 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Sunderland		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.54	4.28	5.92	Watch
	1.53	4.34	6.38
	1.53	4.29	6.07	Watch
	1.53	4.2	6.5
	1.54	4.3	5.85	Watch
	1.54	4.28	5.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.53)	4.26 ↓ (4.28)	6.05 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sunderland
62%

Draw
22.3%

Oxford United
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.1%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Sunderland - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Moore S. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 11. Rigg C. 14. Mundle R. 18. Isidor W.	1. Cumming J. (G) 30. Kioso P. 5. Moore E. 16. Nelson B. 3. Brown C. 4. Vaulks W. 19. Goodrham T. 20. Rodrigues R. 15. El Mizouni I. 9. Harris M. 44. Scarlett D.
Substitutes
30. Aleksic M. 22. Aouchiche A. 8. Browne A. 9. Connolly A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 5. Johnson Z. 16. Noukeu B. (G) 15. Rusyn N. 40. Watson T.	17. Dale O. 11. Ebiowei M. 25. Goodwin W. 21. Ingram M. (G) 22. Leigh G. 2. Long S. 6. McEachran J. 14. Sibley L. 24. ter Avest H.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Buckingham D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bellingham J. ⚽, Hume T. (A),
23', Mepham C. 🟨,
37', Isidor W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', El Mizouni I. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
51', Scarlett D. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Isidor W. ⚽, Neil D. (A),
75', Rodrigues R. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
75', Vaulks W. ↓, McEachran J. ↑,
75', Kioso P. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
77', Sibley L. 🟨,
78', Mundle R. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
78', Rigg C. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
81', Scarlett D. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
89', Isidor W. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
89', Mepham C. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 4.

Sunderland is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Oxford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Ankle Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Poveda I. (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Muscle Injury) Brannagan C. (Muscle Injury) Phillips M. (Muscle Injury) Placheta P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Injury) Abdullahi A. (Groin Injury) Mayenda E. (Knock)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
23.10.24	Luton Town - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Hull City - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Sunderland - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
01.10.24	Sunderland - Derby County	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Watford - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWL
- Oxford United
English League Championship
22.10.24	Oxford United - Derby County	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Oxford United - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Portsmouth - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
01.10.24	Luton Town - Oxford United	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Oxford United - Burnley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.04.22	Oxford United - Sunderland	1:2
04.12.21	Sunderland - Oxford United	1:1
02.04.21	Sunderland - Oxford United	3:1
19.09.20	Oxford United - Sunderland	0:2
15.02.20	Oxford United - Sunderland	0:1
English League Cup
29.10.19	Oxford United - Sunderland	2:1 penalties
English League One
03.08.19	Sunderland - Oxford United	1:1

Upcoming Matches