The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 49.9%
Draw 26.1%
Burton Albion 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
25.5%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
26.9%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Oxford United - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Burton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Oxford Utd (1.90) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Eastwood S. (G) 30. Kioso P. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 15. Spencer B. 18. McDonnell J. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 57. Missanga M. 4. Andrews K. 23. Dembele S. 9. Harris M.
34. Addai C. (G) 6. Sibbick T. 31. Lewis J. 16. Tilt C. (C) 15. Lofthouse K. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 4. Chauke K. 3. Armer J. 14. Collar W. 8. Webster C. 18. Vickers C.
Substitutes
1. Cumming J. (G) 26. Currie J. 11. Goodrham T. 2. Long S. 19. O'Donkor G. 32. Sibley L. 27. Snowden L.
23. Adiele E. 29. Adom K. 24. Araujo H. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 40. Scutt Z. 20. Sraha J.
Coaches
Ramsey A.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Lewis J. 🟨,
38', McDonnell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Armer J. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
61', Spencer B. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
61', McDonnell J. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
62', Collar W. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
62', Vickers C. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
68', Lewis J. ↓, Sraha J. ↑,
74', Andrews K. ↓, Goodrham T. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Dembele S. ⚽,
86', Harris M. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
87', Missanga M. ↓, Snowden L. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Sibley L. ⚽, Dembele S. (A),
90+4', 3 - 0, O'Donkor G. ⚽, Goodrham T. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Oxford has had a series of away games.
In this match, Oxford is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Oxford: Emakhu A.
(Inactive)
Jeon Jin-Woo
(Inactive)
Roosken R.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Burton: Dennis M.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
Outrights of English League One for now
Oxford Utd: 5.34% Burton: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Oxford Utd
7
4
2
1
15:8
7
14
10
Burton
10
3
3
4
14:16
-2
12
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 22.9%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.