Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Oxford United		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.79	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.9
	4.14	3.7	1.85	Watch
	4.26	3.63	1.93
	4.25	3.40	1.87	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.91
	4.24	3.66	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.89)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	1.87 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
22.8%

Draw
26.6%

Leicester City
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.8%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

27.2%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Oxford United - Leicester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leicester City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 10. Phillips M. 29. Davies B. 6. Helik M. 2. Long S. 26. Currie J. 7. Placheta P. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 50. Krastev F. 27. Lankshear W.	1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 17. Choudhury H. (C) 5. Okoli C. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 24. Soumare B. 22. Skipp O. 7. Fatawu I. 30. Ramsey A. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Ayew J.
Substitutes
23. Dembele S. 19. Goodrham T. 12. Harris L. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 17. Mills S. 16. Prelec N. 15. Spencer B. 4. Vaulks W.	31. Begovic A. (G) 19. Carranza J. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 3. Faes W. 6. James J. 28. Monga J. 21. Pereira R. 8. Winks H.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', Soumare B. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Lankshear W. ⚽, Helik M. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Ayew J. ⚽,
24', Ramsey A. 🟥,
44', 2 - 1, Soumare B. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mavididi S. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
46', Soumare B. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
50', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
52', Phillips M. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
55', 2 - 2, Pereira R. ⚽, Fatawu I. (A),
63', Long S. 🟨,
72', Krastev F. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
73', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
75', Fatawu I. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
78', Choudhury H. ↓, James J. ↑,
89', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
89', Currie J. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
90+1', Ayew J. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,

Preview

Oxford has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leicester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oxford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leicester is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) Johnson J. (Inactive) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: De Cordova-Reid B. (Leg Injury) Kristiansen V. (Knock) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Choudhury H. (Injury) Fatawu I. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
30.08.25	Oxford United - Coventry City	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:6 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Birmingham City - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Hull City - Oxford United	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Oxford United - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLLW
- Leicester City
English League Championship
29.08.25	Leicester City - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Charlton Athletic - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Preston North End - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.25	Huddersfield Town - Leicester City	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Championship
10.08.25	Leicester City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.16	Oxford United - Leicester City	1:2

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