Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Oxford United		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	6.5	5	1.37	Watch
	6.75	4.8	1.43
	7.4	4.95	1.41	Watch
	7.73	4.97	1.4
	7.40	4.85	1.37	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.4
	7.3	5.1	1.41	Watch
	5.75	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.92 ↑ (5.75)	4.76 ↑ (4)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
13.6%

Draw
19.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

23.4%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

22.9%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brighton & Hove Albion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Oxford (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 20%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ingram M. (G) 10. Phillips M. 15. Spencer B. 5. Moore E. 2. Long S. 26. Currie J. 17. Mills S. 4. Vaulks W. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 7. Placheta P. 9. Harris M.	23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J. 42. Coppola D. 21. Boscagli O. 3. Igor 20. Milner J. (C) 13. Hinshelwood J. 25. Gomez D. 8. Gruda B. 24. Kadioglu F. 53. Howell H.
Substitutes
20. Bradshaw T. 1. Cumming J. (G) 14. De Keersmaecker B. 19. Goodrham T. 12. Harris L. 16. Prelec N. 18. Sibley L. 49. Snowden L. 24. ter Avest H.	17. Baleba C. 19. Kostoulas C. 2. Lamptey T. 37. McGill T. (G) 33. O'Riley M. 54. Simmonds F. 51. Tasker C. 9. Tzimas S. 14. Watson T.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Boscagli O. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Gruda B. ⚽, Veltman J. (A),
40', Mills S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
54', Spencer B. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Gomez D. ⚽, Coppola D. (A),
66', Kadioglu F. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
66', Gomez D. ↓, Tzimas S. ↑,
66', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
66', Placheta P. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
67', Brannagan C. ↓, De Keersmaecker B. ↑,
67', Phillips M. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
71', 0 - 4, Tzimas S. ⚽, Howell H. (A),
77', 0 - 5, Tzimas S. ⚽, Howell H. (A),
78', Milner J. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
78', Veltman J. ↓, Tasker C. ↑,
83', Harris M. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
86', 0 - 6, Watson T. ⚽, Tzimas S. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Oxford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brighton & Hove is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) Harris L. (Ankle Injury) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Oxford: Prelec N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Rutter G. (Injury) Watson T. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
23.08.25	Birmingham City - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Hull City - Oxford United	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Oxford United - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Oxford United - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Oxford United - Málaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
24.08.25	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
23.08.16	Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:4
Club Friendly
26.07.16	Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:4

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