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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 17.4%
Draw 23.2%
Coventry City 59.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
25.5%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
25.1%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coventry City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coventry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15%
15%
70%
Oxford United - Coventry City Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Coventry will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 58.6% – 97%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Coventry (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coventry City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 10. Phillips M. 24. ter Avest H. 6. Helik M. 2. Long S. 22. Leigh G. 19. Goodrham T. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 7. Placheta P. 27. Lankshear W.
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. (C) 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. 29. Torp V. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 5. Rudoni J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.
Substitutes
20. Bradshaw T. 26. Currie J. 23. Dembele S. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 12. Harris L. 9. Harris M. 17. Mills S. 16. Prelec N. 4. Vaulks W.
8. Allen J. 21. Bidwell J. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 33. Brau M. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 7. Sakamoto T. 14. Sheaf B. 9. Simms E. 13. Wilson B. (G)
Coaches
Rowett G.
Lampard F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Wright H. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Lankshear W. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Torp V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Thomas B. 🟨,
55', Brannagan C. 🟨,
72', Goodrham T. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
72', Phillips M. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
72', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Brannagan C. ⚽,
87', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Sakamoto T. ↑,
87', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
88', Torp V. 🟨,
90', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0.
Oxford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Coventry is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Coventry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Coventry is the team to beat.
There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Knee Injury)
Johnson J.
(Inactive)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Coventry: Latibeaudiere J.
(Inactive)
Sakamoto T.
(Groin Injury)
Sheaf B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Oxford: Spencer B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Coventry: Dovin O.
(Knee Injury)
Eccles J.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2:1.8).
Watch
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Cumming J. (G) 
Phillips M. 
ter Avest H. 
Helik M. 
Leigh G. 
Goodrham T. 
De Keersmaecker B. 
Dasilva J. 
Torp V. 
Thomas-Asante B. 
Wright H. 
Prelec N. 
Borges Rodrigues R. 
Brau M. 
Sakamoto T. 
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