Match Info

Championship - Round 32

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)


	Oxford United		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3.14	2.46	Watch
	3.14	3.21	2.48
	3.37	3.29	2.21	Watch
	3	3	2.38
	3.07	3.13	2.37	Watch
	3.14	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.7)	3.17 ↓ (3.46)	2.37 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
30.4%

Draw
29.8%

Norwich City
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	27.6%	58.6%

Oxford United - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Norwich will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 20%). Norwich (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Norwich (1.59) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Norwich (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Norwich (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Norwich (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 37. Makosso C. 6. Helik M. 2. Long S. 3. Brown C. 38. McDonnell J. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 7. Placheta P. 44. Peart-Harris M. 10. Emakhu A. 9. Harris M.	32. Grimshaw D. (G) 35. Fisher K. 15. McConville R. 33. Cordoba J. 14. Chrisene B. 26. Field S. 23. McLean K. (C) 8. Gibbs L. 20. Slimane A. 29. Schwartau O. 37. Toure M.
Substitutes
29. Davies B. 21. Ingram M. (G) 32. Jeon Jin-Woo 5. Konak Y. E. 17. Mills S. 12. Roosken R. 15. Spencer B. 11. ter Haar Romeny O. 4. Vaulks W.	21. Ahmed A. 6. Darling H. 30. Kvistgaarden M. 25. Maghoma P. 5. Medic J. 31. Moulden L. (G) 42. Springett T. 3. Stacey J. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Toure M. ⚽, Grimshaw D. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Toure M. ⚽, Chrisene B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
46', Long S. ↓, Roosken R. ↑,
47', 0 - 3, Toure M. ⚽,
53', Chrisene B. 🟨,
56', Emakhu A. ↓, Jeon Jin-Woo ↑,
60', Toure M. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
60', Slimane A. ↓, Maghoma P. ↑,
70', Harris M. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
71', Brannagan C. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
71', Gibbs L. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
72', Fisher K. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
84', McLean K. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).

Oxford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Norwich is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Norwich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Norwich: 4.27%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17:19	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Oxford United - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 35.01%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Norwich City - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
07.02.26	Coventry City - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Sheffield United - Oxford United	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Oxford United - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Leicester City - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLLWT
- Norwich City
English League Championship
07.02.26	Norwich City - Blackburn Rovers	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Norwich City - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Norwich City	0:5 ✺
17.01.26	Wrexham - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.11.25	Norwich City - Oxford United	1:1
07.03.25	Norwich City - Oxford United	1:1
10.08.24	Oxford United - Norwich City	2:0

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