The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 40.1%
Draw 28.9%
Queens Park Rangers 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
28.6%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
28.2%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford United's performance.
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queens Park Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
11.1%
44.4%
Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). QPR will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 21.4% – 67.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - QPR (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oxford United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 4. Vaulks W. 17. Mills S. 8. Brannagan C. 44. Peart-Harris M. 27. Lankshear W.
13. Walsh J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. 5. Cook S. 28. Esquerdinha 7. Dembele K. 24. Madsen N. 15. Hayden I. 11. Smyth P. 22. Kone R. 23. Bennie D.
Substitutes
23. Dembele S. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 5. Konak Y. E. 22. Leigh G. 38. McDonnell J. 10. Phillips M. 15. Spencer B. 11. ter Haar Romeny O.
2. Adamson K. 37. Edwards R. 8. Field S. 29. Hamer B. (G) 26. Kolli R. 21. Morgan K. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 30. Smith T. 20. Vale H.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.
Stephan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Helik M. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
55', Dembele K. 🟨,
58', Smyth P. 🟨,
58', Vaulks W. 🟨,
65', Esquerdinha ↓, Norrington-Davies R. ↑,
70', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
70', Vaulks W. ↓, McDonnell J. ↑,
75', Hayden I. ↓, Field S. ↑,
76', Kone R. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
76', Mills S. ↓, Phillips M. ↑,
85', Dembele K. ↓, Vale H. ↑,
90+2', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1.
In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
QPR's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Oxford: Donley J.
(Injury)
Goodrham T.
(Injury)
Placheta P.
(Calf Injury)
Prelec N.
(Groin Injury)
ter Avest H.
(Injury)
There will not play in QPR: Burrell R.
(Injury)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Poku K.
(Injury)
Saito K.
(Injury)
Vale H.
(Inactive)
Varane J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in QPR: Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).