Match Info

Championship - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.45	3.2	Watch
	2.18	3.55	3.21	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.22	3.36	3.13	Watch
	2.22	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)	3.44 ↓ (3.58)	3.16 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
42.9%

Draw
27.3%

Norwich City
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

26.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Wrexham - Norwich City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 3 - 60%). Norwich (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Norwich (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Norwich (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Norwich (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 15. Dobson G. 18. Sheaf B. 14. Thomason G. 10. Windass J. 33. Broadhead N. 28. Smith S.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 35. Fisher K. 15. McConville R. 33. Cordoba J. 14. Chrisene B. 7. Mattsson P. 23. McLean K. (C) 10. Jurasek M. 20. Slimane A. 21. Ahmed A. 24. Makama J.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 25. Burton C. (G) 13. Cacace L. 37. James M. 19. Moore K. 27. O'Brien L. 20. Rathbone O. 16. Rodriguez J. 24. Scarr D.	6. Darling H. 19. Diallo P. A. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 30. Kvistgaarden M. 5. Medic J. 29. Schwartau O. 42. Springett T. 3. Stacey J. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Slimane A. ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Smith S. ⚽, Cleworth M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jurasek M. ↓, Springett T. ↑,
46', McLean K. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Wrexham has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Norwich's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Norwich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Norwich has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Hardie R. (Knee Injury) James A. (Injury) Lee E. (Knee Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Moore K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Norwich: Duffy S. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Norwich: 4.58% Wrexham: 4.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11
18	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17:19	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Wrexham - Nottingham Forest	4:3 penalties ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Derby County - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Wrexham - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Wrexham - Sheffield United	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.5 WWWWW
- Norwich City
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Norwich City - Walsall	5:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Norwich City - Stoke City	0:2 ✺
01.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
29.12.25	Norwich City - Watford	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Norwich City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.09.25	Norwich City - Wrexham	2:3

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