The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Pärnu Vaprus 21.8%
Draw 22.4%
Nõmme Kalju 55.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
21.7%
59.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
21%
61.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme Kalju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme Kalju Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Nõmme Kalju (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Nomm O. (C) 28. Lipp M. 24. Villota M. 66. Nomm U. 15. Aloe K. 90. Sild J. 20. Valja H. 10. Viidas S. 8. Pajo T. 17. Kapper S. 42. Limberg M.
69. Pavlov M. (G) 46. Vukusic R. 50. Podholjuzin M. 5. Korre U. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 26. Siht R. 20. Tambedou M. 8. Musolitin O. 27. Mannilaan M. 10. Ivanov N. (C) 30. Jabir I.
Substitutes
5. Aer S. 64. Allas J. 81. Dolgov E. 11. Kauber K. 19. Korre A. 74. Kutsar K. 14. Orm R. 9. Poder J. 1. Vainu H. (G) 7. Vallik V. 4. Villota M.
21. Baptista T. 74. Jekimov F. 2. Lillemets J. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 78. Mashchenko D. 22. Nikolajev A. 11. Orlov M. 1. Perk H. (G)
Coaches
Prins I.
Andreev N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Podholjuzin M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Viidas S. ⚽, Kapper S. (A),
38', Korre U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Jabir I. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
46', Korre U. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
48', Borolinstsikov A. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Mannilaan M. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Borolinstsikov A. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
66', Viidas S. 🟨,
68', Ivanov N. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Viidas S. ⚽,
73', Viidas S. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
73', Kapper S. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
86', Musolitin O. ↓, Mashchenko D. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Lotar Eyang E. E. ⚽,
87', Villota M. ↓,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Pärnu Vaprus (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nõmme Kalju has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Nõmme Kalju is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pärnu Vaprus has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:43 (averaging 1:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pärnu Vaprus against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 11:23 goals (averaging 1.1:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Kalju
31
15
6
10
54:30
24
51
7
Parnu JK Vaprus
31
10
6
15
43:61
-18
36
Last Results with these Odds
Nõmme Kalju - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 59.53%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Estonia
Watch
#ad
Nomm O. (C) 
Pavlov M. (G) 
Vukusic R. 
Tambedou M. 
Musolitin O. 
Jabir I. 
Baptista T. 
Lotar Eyang E. E. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
