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Current Win Probability
Pärnu Vaprus 42.9%
Draw 25.2%
Nõmme United 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
23.9%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
22.4%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pärnu Vaprus's performance.
Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pärnu Vaprus that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Nomm O. (C) 43. Seppik M. 28. Lipp M. 15. Aloe K. 24. Villota M. 90. Sild J. 20. Valja H. 10. Viidas S. 8. Pajo T. 42. Limberg M. 17. Kapper S.
71. Purg G. (G) 4. Alteberg A. 2. Morishige Y. 50. Geiger S. 55. Chanda R. 26. Oostenbrink K. 10. Frolov A. (C) 19. Krasnov I. 20. Matas K. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 11. Chisala B.
Substitutes
5. Aer S. 11. Kauber K. 19. Korre A. 74. Kutsar K. 66. Nomm U. 14. Orm R. 9. Poder J. 3. Rand K. 1. Vainu H. (G) 7. Vallik V. 4. Villota M.
16. Dacosta O. 45. Jarvelaid H. 24. Kabal G. 23. Laanelaid K. 1. Lagus G. (G) 6. Palts M. 7. Torres A. 13. Truuvaart A. 14. Vassiljev N.
Coaches
Prins I.
Cisakowski S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Krasnov I. ↓, Dacosta O. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Pajo T. ⚽,
59', Matas K. 🟨,
64', Villota M. 🟨,
68', Alteberg A. ↓, Jarvelaid H. ↑,
68', Oostenbrink K. ↓, Vassiljev N. ↑,
74', Viidas S. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
78', Aloe K. 🟨,
81', Kapper S. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
81', Villota M. ↓, Orm R. ↑,
82', Limberg M. 🟨,
87', Pajo T. ↓, Nomm U. ↑,
90', Chisala B. ↓, Laanelaid K. ↑,
90+3', Poder J. 🟨,
90+4', Jarvelaid H. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 2.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 3:0.8).
Estonia
Usa
Watch
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Nomm O. (C) 
Morishige Y. 
Geiger S. 
Chanda R. 
Oostenbrink K. 
Beglarishvili Z. 
Dacosta O. 
Torres A. 
Cisakowski S. 
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