Match Info

Estonian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Parnu Rannastaadion (Parnu)

Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)


	Pärnu Vaprus		Tartu Welco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.85	5.7
	1.41	5.07	5.59
	1.47	4.55	5.50	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5
	1.39	4.95	5.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.25)	4.78 ↓ (5.5)	5.51 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus
64.5%

Draw
19%

Tartu Welco
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

16.4%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Vaprus's form might have worsened.

Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tartu Welco's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Pärnu Vaprus - Tartu Welco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Tartu Welco will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 50%). Tartu Welco (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vainu H. (C) 64. Allas J. 5. Aer S. 15. Aloe K. 90. Sild J. 20. Valja H. 47. Kolvart S. 10. Viidas S. 17. Kapper S. 9. Poder J. 22. Lepik M.	22. Agarmaa M. (G) 19. Raudmae J. 2. Timothy L. 28. Roos M. 4. Sossi M. (C) 20. Mugra M. 40. Viira S. 8. Laasner K. 10. Veensalu E. 88. Roots R. 9. Mottus E.
Substitutes
81. Dolgov E. 11. Kauber K. 19. Korre A. 42. Limberg M. 16. Nomm O. (G) 14. Orm R. 3. Rand K. 86. Roosson R. 43. Seppik M. 7. Vallik V. 4. Villota M.	91. Bachmann T. (G) 3. Kala R. 15. Kiivit A. 11. Magi M. 36. Malki U. 70. Petmanson J. 32. Salu R. 95. Saupold T. 33. Teniste T. 59. Zovo M.
Coaches
Prins I.	Barengrub A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Veensalu E. ↓, Petmanson J. ↑,
27', Timothy L. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Aloe K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Poder J. ↓, Limberg M. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Lepik M. ⚽,
60', Timothy L. ↓, Kala R. ↑,
60', Roots R. ↓, Kiivit A. ↑,
61', Aloe K. 🟨,
65', Sild J. 🟨,
69', Raudmae J. 🟨,
73', Viidas S. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Petmanson J. ⚽,
82', Sossi M. 🟨,
84', Viira S. ↓, Zovo M. ↑,
88', Mottus E. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Pärnu Vaprus has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pärnu Vaprus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga
07.03.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus	0:6 ✺
04.02.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Metta	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare	9:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLW
- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
05.03.26	Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.02.26	Narva Trans - Tartu Welco	2:2 ✺
14.01.26	Paide LM - Tartu Welco	5:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
09.11.25	Flora U21 - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Tammeka U21 - Tartu Welco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
19.10.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Tartu Welco	3:0
04.07.19	Tartu Welco - Pärnu Vaprus	1:2
09.05.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Tartu Welco	5:1
04.04.19	Tartu Welco - Pärnu Vaprus	0:2

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