Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Tallinna Kalev		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	4.5	5.29	1.47
	24.79	9.34	1.06	Watch
	4.4	4.75	1.5
	4.07	5.5	1.54	Watch
	4.75	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.5 ↑ (3.42)	5.88 ↑ (4.79)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
11.8%

Draw
17.1%

Pärnu Vaprus
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

18.7%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna Kalev's form might have worsened.

Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu Vaprus's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 0 - 3, ⚽,
75', 0 - 4, ⚽,
78', 0 - 5, ⚽,
83', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 1.

Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Tammeka - Tallinna Kalev	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21	3:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev	4:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWLW
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Club Friendly
04.02.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Metta	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare	9:2 ✺
24.01.26	Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.11.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
21.09.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev	1:0
05.08.25	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus	0:2
14.06.25	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus	0:3
13.04.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev	2:2
Club Friendly
19.01.25	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1
Estonian Meistriliiga
03.11.24	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev	2:0
01.09.24	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus	1:0

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