Match Info

Date: 15 September 2020, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	PAOK		Benfica

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.75
	4.6	3.85	1.78
	4.4	3.65	1.69
	4.77	3.83	1.74
	4.75	3.6	1.65
	4.75	3.9	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.43)	3.76 ↑ (3.51)	1.72 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
20%

Draw
25.1%

Benfica
54.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.1%

26.6%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

16.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	3.1%	91.2%

PAOK - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (351 of 385 users predict this - 91.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.34% – 94%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

PAOK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Benfica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Benfica have a series of home games.

In this match Benfica is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
11.09.20	PAOK - AEL Larissa	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Panathinaikos - PAOK	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.08.20	PAOK - Beşiktaş	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.20	PAOK - Niki Volos	2:0 ✺
07.08.20	Atromitos Athens - PAOK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT
- SL Benfica
Luxembourg National Division
13.09.20	Pétange - Benfica	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Benfica - Rennes	2:0 ✺
02.09.20	Benfica - Braga	2:1 ✺
30.08.20	Benfica - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.08.20	Benfica - Porto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
29.08.18	PAOK - Benfica	1:4
21.08.18	Benfica - PAOK	1:1
UEFA Europa League
27.02.14	Benfica - PAOK	3:0
20.02.14	PAOK - Benfica	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
01.11.26	PAOK - Asteras Tripolis	✺
Greek Cup
28.10.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	✺
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
02.11.26	Benfica - Alverca	✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.26	Benfica - Gil Vicente	✺

PAOK - Benfica