Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday


	PAOK		Gent

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.7	Watch
	2.87	2.95	2.55
	2.88	3.05	2.7
	2.85	3	2.65
	3	3.03	2.71
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.96	3.18	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.21)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)	2.74 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
34%

Draw
31.3%

Gent
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

20.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PAOK's form might have worsened.

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	12.1%	12.1%

PAOK - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 174 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 132 - 75.9%). Gent will win (votes: 21 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 69.5% – 82.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

PAOK was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Gent was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (59%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 55, importance 41, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

PAOK is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gent is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
06.03.22	Lamia - PAOK	0:2 ✺
02.03.22	AEK Athens - PAOK	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	PAOK - Ionikos Nikaias	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.02.22	PAOK - Midtjylland	3:1 penalties ✺
Greek Super League
20.02.22	Aris - PAOK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWT
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.03.22	Gent - Zulte Waregem	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
02.03.22	Club Brugge - Gent	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.02.22	Standard Liège - Gent	0:1 ✺
23.02.22	Gent - Seraing	4:0 ✺
12.02.22	Eupen - Gent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.18	PAOK - Gent	1:1
07.07.17	PAOK - Gent	0:2

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