Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium (Jepara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Persijap Jepara		PSM Makassar

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.3	2.1
	2.92	3.15	2.2	Watch
	3.09	3.45	2.29
	3.02	3.42	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.98	3.24	2.19
	2.9	3.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.06)	3.28 ↓ (3.41)	2.2 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persijap Jepara
30.8%

Draw
27.8%

PSM Makassar
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persijap Jepara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persijap Jepara than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Persijap Jepara - PSM Makassar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Makassar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansah S. (G) 55. Yakubu N. 26. Brito D. 4. Tiri 78. Lessy B. 21. Saepul R. 32. Gomez A. 33. Hamisi W. (C) 88. Herrera B. 95. Franca Carlos 34. Guarrotxena I.	30. Arya R. (G) 22. Victor Luiz 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 2. Aloisio Neto 71. Hidayat M. 24. Pratama R. 45. Tanjung A. 7. Dethan V. 48. Arfan M. 98. Medina Themopole J. 9. Alex Tanque
Substitutes
23. Akbar R. . Arjunsyah A. 66. Dicky Kurniawan 71. Fadlillah A. 14. Hidayat R. 7. Indra Arya 70. Kallon P. 44. Ndom A. 17. Ramadhan F. 99. Sanggasi S. (G) 8. Yan H.	29. Aditia F. 27. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 17. Bakri R. 6. Fandi R. 97. Hilmansyah (G) 15. Pratama R. 81. Rahaman A. 10. Sakai D. 68. Salman D. 32. Septiawan R. D.
Coaches
Alves D.	Trucha T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Medina Themopole J. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Franca Carlos ⚽,
45+1', Arfan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dethan V. ↓, Sakai D. ↑,
53', Hamisi W. 🟨,
61', Herrera B. ↓, Ndom A. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Guarrotxena I. ⚽,
69', Pratama R. ↓, Aditia F. ↑,
69', Arfan M. ↓, Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. ↑,
73', Saepul R. ↓, Dicky Kurniawan ↑,
75', Brito D. 🟨,
80', Victor Luiz 🟨,
82', Tiri 🟨,
84', Tanjung A. ↓, Fandi R. ↑,
90', Guarrotxena I. ↓, Sudi A. ↑,
90', Yakubu N. ↓, Hidayat R. ↑,
90+6', Lessy B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Persijap Jepara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Makassar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Persijap Jepara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Persijap Jepara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	PSM Makassar	3	0	2	1	6:8	-2	2
16	Persijap Jepara	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0

Last Results with these Odds

PSM Makassar - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persijap Jepara
Indonesian Super League
12.01.26	Persijap Jepara - Dewa United	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Persija Jakarta - Persijap Jepara	2:0 ✺
28.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persijap Jepara	4:0 ✺
23.12.25	Persijap Jepara - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1 ✺
27.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persijap Jepara	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
09.01.26	PSM Makassar - Bali United Pusam	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Persib Bandung - PSM Makassar	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	PSM Makassar - Java United	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
08.08.25	PSM Makassar - Persijap Jepara	1:1
Indonesian Premier League
24.10.13	Persijap Jepara - PSM Makassar	0:2
26.06.13	PSM Makassar - Persijap Jepara	2:1

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