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Current Win Probability
Persebaya Surabaya 58%
Draw 22.9%
Persik Kediri 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
23.7%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
22.5%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Persik Kediri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persik Kediri than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Persebaya Surabaya - Persik Kediri Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Persebaya will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 5. Mitrevski R. 44. Gustavo Fernandes 17. Jefferson 88. Raickovic M. 7. Rivera F. 68. Firmansyah T. 77. Malik R. 11. Perovic M. 10. Bruno (C)
33. Al Malik H. (G) 42. Yagalo V. 85. Firly M. 16. Hehanusa H. (C) 19. Sanjaya R. 4. Garcia I. 8. Castanheira T. 5. Toral J. 7. Gomez E. 90. Rodrigo Dias 66. Luna A.
Substitutes
33. Araya K. 14. Ardiansyah R. 82. Arido A. (G) 81. Baihaqi M. 83. Bruno Paraiba 8. Fernando O. 22. Freitas Gali 18. May R. 78. Mujtaba A. 12. Suaib A. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
17. Abimanyu S. 13. Aditama F. 6. Bayu Otto 11. Jayanto A. E. 1. Leo Navacchio (G) 55. Meneses Chechu 29. Mila I. 99. Munawar Y. 37. Pratama W. 77. Ray R. 25. Setiawan N. 23. Supriadi M.
Coaches
Tavares B.
Reina M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Malik R. ⚽, Bruno (A),
16', Gustavo Fernandes 🟨,
27', Rodrigo Dias ↓, Munawar Y. ↑,
38', Catur A. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
45', 2 - 0, Bruno ⚽, Raickovic M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Perovic M. ↓, Freitas Gali ↑,
46', Yagalo V. ↓, Setiawan N. ↑,
52', Setiawan N. 🟨,
56', Firly M. 🟨,
57', Luna A. 🟨,
57', Leo Navacchio 🟨,
62', Freitas Gali 🟨,
65', 3 - 0, Gustavo Fernandes ⚽, Freitas Gali (A),
68', Sanjaya R. ↓, Meneses Chechu ↑,
68', Toral J. ↓, Supriadi M. ↑,
78', Munawar Y. 🟨,
79', Raickovic M. ↓, Baihaqi M. ↑,
79', Malik R. ↓, Bruno Paraiba ↑,
80', Castanheira T. ↓, Abimanyu S. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Bruno Paraiba ⚽, Rivera F. (A),
84', Gomez E. ↓, Aditama F. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Bruno ⚽,
90', Araya K. 🟨,
90+1', Jefferson ↓, Mujtaba A. ↑,
90+1', Rivera F. ↓, Fernando O. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 2.
Persebaya has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Persik Kediri has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Persebaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Persebaya has had a series of away games.
In this match, Persebaya is considered a favorite.
We predict that Persebaya will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).