The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bali United Pusam 44.4%
Draw 28%
Persebaya Surabaya 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
27.6%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
29.3%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bali United Pusam's performance.
Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persebaya Surabaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
50%
33.3%
Bali United Pusam - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bali United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bali United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 77. Meilana Y. 4. Arel K. 2. Ferrari J. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 7. Goppel T. 14. Receveur T. 17. Yachida T. 47. Arjuna R. 9. Kopitovic B. 10. Mustafic M.
21. Ari E. (G) 17. Jefferson 24. Lelis L. S. 5. Mitrevski R. 2. Catur A. 16. Matos P. 7. Rivera F. 53. Irianto R. (C) 22. Freitas Gali 11. Perovic M. 26. Wicaksono D.
Substitutes
5. Adi B. 33. Andhika M. 8. Bruijn J. 99. Campos D. 41. Jaya I. 18. Kadek Agung 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 16. Rizky Dwi 95. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. 21. Wayan Arta (G)
33. Araya K. 81. Baihaqi M. 8. Fernando O. 77. Malik R. 55. Putra S. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 12. Suaib A. 15. Tata M.
Coaches
Jansen J.
Tavares B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Matos P. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Perovic M. ⚽,
32', Mustafic M. ↓, Bruijn J. ↑,
40', Perovic M. ↓, Malik R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Wicaksono D. ↓, Suaib A. ↑,
46', Malik R. ↓, Gustavo Fernandes ↑,
50', Arel K. 🟨,
58', Yachida T. ↓, Campos D. ↑,
58', Arjuna R. ↓, Kadek Agung ↑,
61', Ferrari J. 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Suaib A. ⚽, Rivera F. (A),
73', Goppel T. ↓, Jaya I. ↑,
73', Meilana Y. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Mitrevski R. ⚽, Freitas Gali (A),
80', Matos P. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
88', Suaib A. ↓, Putra S. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Bruijn J. ⚽, Raven J. (A),
90+3', Mitrevski R. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 4.
Recent performances by Bali United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Persebaya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Persebaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Bali United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bali United won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
Indonesia
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Hauptmeijer M. (G) 
Meilana Y. 
Ferrari J. 
Yachida T. 
Kopitovic B. 
Mustafic M. 
Mitrevski R. 
Matos P. 
Rivera F. 
Freitas Gali 
Campos D. 
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