The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
PSV Eindhoven 48.3%
Draw 27.8%
Ajax 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
23.9%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
25.1%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSV Eindhoven's performance.
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
PSV Eindhoven - Ajax Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Biegel Esteves M. (G) 19. Cayman J. 30. Chibani A. 8. Folkertsma S. 17. Jacobs L. 9. Kalma F. 23. Kemper-Moorrees M. 6. Lacroix R. 10. Ripa C. 21. van de Sanden S. 7. Xhemaili R.
22. van der Vliet D. (G) 21. Buikema N. 24. De Klonia D. 7. Derks R. 26. Kip X. 3. Noordermeer D. 16. Noordman D. 10. Smits J. 5. van Asten R. 12. van Hensbergen J. 27. van Schoonhoven N.
Substitutes
31. Akkermans K. (G) 1. Evrard N. (G) . Fischer E. 25. Frijns E. 22. Haentjens L. 11. Jansen R. 32. Janssen A. 18. Rijsbergen L. 43. Schippers B. 2. Thrige S.
17. Dostmohamed I. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 25. Touzani L. . van der Linden N. 6. van de Velde J. 11. Van Egmond B. 1. van Eijk R. (G) . Verkooijen F. . Wegerif M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Ripa C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Kalma F. ⚽,
63', Buikema N. ↓, Van Egmond B. ↑,
68', Lacroix R. ↓, Haentjens L. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Folkertsma S. ⚽,
76', Derks R. ↓, Touzani L. ↑,
76', van Schoonhoven N. ↓, Wegerif M. ↑,
80', De Klonia D. ↓, van der Linden N. ↑,
80', Kip X. ↓, Verkooijen F. ↑,
86', van de Sanden S. ↓, Jansen R. ↑,
87', Ripa C. ↓, Touw M. ↑,
89', Folkertsma S. ↓, Fischer E. ↑,
89', Kemper-Moorrees M. ↓, Schippers B. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 3.
PSV is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ajax is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
PSV might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 29:40. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.8:1.8).
Watch
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Biegel Esteves M. (G) 
Cayman J. 
Xhemaili R. 
Thrige S. 
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