The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 35.2%
Draw 29.4%
Leixões 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
28.9%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
28.3%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
30%
10%
Paços de Ferreira - Leixões Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Paços de Ferreira: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 1 - 25%). Leixões (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Marafona (G) 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 4. Kauan 22. Mota 33. Fernandinho 88. Francisco Ramos 5. Sousa A. 90. Lumungo R. 7. Diego Fernandes 30. Costinha
1. Morro M. (G) 77. Paulinho 4. Rafael Santos 5. Naldo 15. Simaozinho 11. Agra S. 13. Evrard Zag 18. Kanuric B. 7. Werton 10. Paulite 91. Valente R. (C)
Substitutes
21. Anilson 2. Cardoso G. 26. Cunha N. 19. Gomes F. 12. Jeimes (G) 10. Matheus Martins 13. Pinto J. 36. Silva V. 9. Victor J.
22. Araujo C. 12. Assuncao J. 36. Dodo D. 3. Figueiredo L. 6. Paulinho 94. Rajani M. 35. Rochez B. 30. Serif N. 51. Stefanovic I. (G)
Coaches
Candido F.
Fonseca J. N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Simaozinho 🟨,
26', Fernandinho 🟨,
33', Evrard Zag 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Mota ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Evrard Zag ↓, Paulinho ↑,
49', Kauan 🟨,
53', Simaozinho 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Costinha ⚽,
57', Fernandinho ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
60', Kanuric B. ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
62', Paulite 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Rochez B. ⚽,
74', Francisco Ramos ↓, Gomes F. ↑,
74', Diego Fernandes ↓, Victor J. ↑,
76', Paulite ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
76', Agra S. ↓, Serif N. ↑,
80', Valente R. ↓, Rajani M. ↑,
83', Mota 🟨,
85', Sousa A. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
85', Costinha ↓, Silva V. ↑,
87', Paulinho 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 1, Cunha N. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Paços de Ferreira - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.02%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Marafona (G) 
Kauan 
Lumungo R. 
Morro M. (G) 
Evrard Zag 
Kanuric B. 
Gomes F. 
Dodo D. 
Rochez B. 
Stefanovic I. (G) 
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