Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Lopes V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Paços de Ferreira		Torreense

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.95
	3.8	3.15	2
	4.42	3.16	2.02
	3.84	3.16	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.94	3.24	1.97
	4.33	3	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.29)	3.13 ↓ (3.33)	1.98 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
23.4%

Draw
29.7%

Torreense
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

27.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Paços de Ferreira - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Torreense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 77. Rafael 23. Ferreira T. 5. Sousa A. 88. Francisco Ramos 26. Cunha N. 14. Duarte R. 90. Lumungo R. 9. Victor J. 13. Pinto J.	1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. 65. Guilherme Liberato 6. Leo Silva 10. Costinha 11. Pozo M. 17. Drammeh M. 7. Jean D.
Substitutes
2. Cardoso G. 47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 15. Dias L. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 4. Kauan 28. Marafona (G) 22. Mota 19. Nito	46. Agbor B. 8. Alfaro A. 57. Danilo 13. Perez U. (G) 29. Quintero L. 31. Seydi I. 26. Simoes A. 45. Titalom Penka M. 9. Zohi K.
Coaches
Braga N.	Tralhao L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Duarte R. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
62', Costinha ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
65', Pinto J. ↓, Diegao ↑,
70', Diegao 🟨,
72', Pozo M. ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
73', Drammeh M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
78', Francisco Ramos 🟨,
85', Sousa A. ↓, Mota ↑,
85', Victor J. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
85', Francisco Ramos ↓, Nito ↑,
88', Jean D. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 4).

Recent performances by Paços de Ferreira have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torreense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Torreense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Torreense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Torreense - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
10.02.26	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon B	0:3 ✺
23.01.26	Paços de Ferreira - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Vizela - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Farense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWLWT
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.02.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
04.02.26	Fafe - Torreense	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.26	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Torreense - Farense	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Torreense - Paços de Ferreira	0:0
08.03.25	Torreense - Paços de Ferreira	3:0
13.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	1:0
09.03.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	2:0
28.10.23	Torreense - Paços de Ferreira	1:2

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