Match Info

Date: 2 March 2022, Wednesday


	Pacajus		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	13	5.5	1.2
	15	5.5	1.15
	13	5	1.19
	13.89	5.01	1.2
	9	4.2	1.29
	14.75	5.85	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.11 ↑ (8.67)	5.18 ↑ (3.82)	1.2 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pacajus
6.9%

Draw
17.5%

Fortaleza
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

23.9%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

11.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pacajus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pacajus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-44.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pacajus - Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Pacajus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortaleza is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pacajus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pacajus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
24.02.22	Fortaleza - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Pacajus - Atlético Cearense	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Maracanã - Pacajus	1:2 ✺
08.02.22	Pacajus - Icasa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
24.02.22	Fortaleza - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.02.22	Fortaleza - Bahia	3:1 ✺
15.02.22	Botafogo PB - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
05.02.22	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
24.02.22	Fortaleza - Pacajus	1:0
05.05.21	Pacajus - Fortaleza	0:0
11.03.20	Fortaleza - Pacajus	3:0

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