What is the expert prediction for Pachuca vs Red Bull Salzburg?

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Pachuca vs Red Bull Salzburg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, June 18, 2025)

Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Referee: Ghorbal M. (Alg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
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Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
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Hong-kong	DAZN
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Indonesia	DAZN
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Panama	Nex
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Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	DAZN, Pro Arena, Voyo
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Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
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Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
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Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Pachuca		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.68	3.45	2.52
	2.7	3.59	2.66
				Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.4
	2.82	3.61	2.5
	2.68	3.45	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.98)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	2.53 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
35%

Draw
27.4%

Red Bull Salzburg
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

28%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	14.8%	18.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 53 - 70.7%). Salzburg will win (votes: 11 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 60.4% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Pachuca (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Salzburg (1.84) (votes: 8 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Pachuca (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Pachuca (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pachuca will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 29 - 67.4%). Salzburg (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 16. Pereira F. 8. Gonzalez B. 28. Montiel E. 5. Pedraza P. 18. Palavecino A. 29. Kenedy 12. Dominguez A. 23. Rondon S. (C)	52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 22. Lainer S. 23. Gadou J. 2. Rasmussen J. 13. Kratzig F. 45. Nene D. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 38. Sulzbacher V. 30. Gloukh O. 20. Baidoo E. 21. Ratkov P.
Substitutes
3. Aceves A. 2. Barreto S. D. 26. Bautista A. 35. Berlanga J. 22. Cabral G. 32. Guzman V. 9. Hernandez I. 6. Homenchenko S. 30. Hurtado A. 10. John Kennedy 13. Jurado S. (G) 19. Lopez J. 15. Luna I. 7. Rodriguez E. 14. Sanchez C.	43. Aguilar E. 6. Baidoo S. 28. Daghim A. 5. Diabate S. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 8. Kitano S. 14. Kjaergaard M. 41. Krumrey J. (G) 36. Mellberg J. 9. Onisiwo K. 44. Schuster J. 37. Trummer T. 11. Vertessen Y.
Coaches
Lozano J.	Letsch T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Gloukh O. ⚽, Sulzbacher V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Baidoo E. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
55', Ratkov P. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
55', Sulzbacher V. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,
55', Pedraza P. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Gonzalez B. ⚽,
75', Pereira F. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Onisiwo K. ⚽, Bidstrup M. (A),
77', Kenedy ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
77', Palavecino A. ↓, Homenchenko S. ↑,
78', Gloukh O. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
87', Kratzig F. ↓, Mellberg J. ↑,
87', Dominguez A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
88', Montiel E. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pachuca has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salzburg: Blank H. (Inactive) Capaldo N. (Toe Injury) Caufriez M. (Inactive) Guindo D. (Inactive) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Tijani S. (Knee Injury) Yeo M. K. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
Club Friendly
08.06.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
10.05.25	Club América - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Pachuca - Club América	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Monterrey - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTWL
- Red Bull Salzburg
Club Friendly
12.06.25	Seekirchen - Red Bull Salzburg	Canceled ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
24.05.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	4:2 ✺
18.05.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	4:2 ✺
04.05.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?WWLW

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