Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF CHAMPIONS CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca)

Referee: Lopez B. (Gtm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pachuca		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	7	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6
	1.5	4.2	6	Watch
	1.5	4.3	6.46
	1.5	4.26	6.46
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.5	4.45	6.25	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)	4.27 ↑ (3.83)	6.22 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
63%

Draw
21.9%

Philadelphia Union
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pachuca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Pachuca - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 22. Cabral G. 2. Barreto S. D. 8. Gonzalez B. 6. Deossa N. 5. Pedraza P. 99. Rodriguez M. 10. Sanchez E. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.	18. Blake A. (G) 26. Harriel N. 5. Glesnes J. 17. Lowe D. 27. Wagner K. 11. Bedoya A. 8. Martinez J. 16. McGlynn J. 10. Gazdag D. 33. Sullivan Q. 7. Uhre M.
Substitutes
3. Aceves D. 89. Aguayo S. 88. Bautista A. 9. de la Rosa R. 87. Dominguez A. 28. Hernandez D. 19. Lopez J. 85. Lopez R. 15. Luna I. 33. Micolta A. 96. Montiel E. 13. Rodas C. (G)	35. Adeniyi M. 28. Baribo T. 20. Bueno J. 9. Carranza J. 25. Donovan C. 3. Elliott J. 15. Mbaizo O. 14. Rafanello J. 2. Real M. 1. Semmle O. (G)
Coaches
Almada G.	Curtin J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pachuca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Philadelphia have a series of home games.

In this match Pachuca is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pachuca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
09.03.24	Pachuca - Querétaro	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.24	Philadelphia Union - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
02.03.24	Pachuca - Juárez	3:2 ✺
23.02.24	Necaxa - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Puebla - Pachuca	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWTW
- Philadelphia Union
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.24	Philadelphia Union - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
MLS
02.03.24	Sporting Kansas City - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
27.02.24	Philadelphia Union - Deportivo Saprissa	2:3 ✺
MLS
24.02.24	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
20.02.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Philadelphia Union	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.24	Philadelphia Union - Pachuca	0:0
Club Friendly
24.09.22	Philadelphia Union - Pachuca	1:0

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