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Current Win Probability
Puebla 24.7%
Draw 25.2%
Pachuca 50.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
23.7%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
22.7%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
15.4%
69.2%
Puebla - Pachuca Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Pachuca will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pachuca will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (C) 14. Rivas J. 192. Navarro E. 6. Diaz N. 7. Monarrez F. 21. Gonzalez O. 18. Gamarra P. 5. Moyano F. 11. Gomez E. 19. Marin R. 10. Castillo R.
25. Moreno C. (C) 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 3. Aceves A. 26. Bautista A. 5. Pedraza P. 29. Kenedy 23. Quinones L. 11. Idrissi O. 10. Valencia E.
Substitutes
32. Araos A. 22. Baltazar C. 27. Garnica B. 15. Guerra E. 17. Lozano E. 12. Moreno I. 24. Organista A. 4. Orona E. 8. Ramirez M. 33. Rodriguez J. (G)
197. Achinulo P. 13. Berlanga J. 99. Cadiz J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 8. Guzman V. 9. Hernandez I. 15. Luna I. 24. Rodriguez L. 14. Sanchez C. 32. Togni G.
Coaches
Cristante H.
Lozano J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Navarro E. 🟨,
25', Idrissi O. (Pen),
25', 0 - 1, Idrissi O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Castillo R. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
46', Rivas J. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
46', Gonzalez O. ↓, Organista A. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽, Moyano F. (A),
51', Moyano F. 🟨,
62', Moyano F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
67', Kenedy ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
67', Idrissi O. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽, Baltazar C. (A),
77', Valencia E. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
77', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
80', Navarro E. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Bautista A. ⚽, Cadiz J. (A),
84', Marin R. 🟨,
84', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
86', Pedraza P. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
90+1', Gamarra P. 🟨,
90+6', Bautista A. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
Pachuca might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Pachuca: Carvalho W.
(Muscle Injury)
Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Puebla: Fedorco J.
(Injury)
Guerra E.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
Mexico
South-america
Usa
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Gonzalez J. (C) 
Diaz N. 
Gamarra P. 
Moyano F. 
Gomez E. 
Eduardo Bauermann 
Quinones L. 
Idrissi O. 
Valencia E. 
Cadiz J. 
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