Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Hamburger SV		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	3.7	Watch
	1.85	4	3.7
	1.83	4	3.6	Watch
	1.88	4.33	3.82
	1.81	4.22	3.82	Watch
	1.83	4	3.5	Watch
	1.85	4.2	3.67	Watch
	1.83	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.75)	4.09 ↓ (4.28)	3.68 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
51.3%

Draw
23%

Paderborn
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

22.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

21.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hamburger SV - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Raab M. (G) 33. Katterbach N. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 29. Sahiti E. 8. Elfadli D. 23. Meffert J. 17. Karabec A. 9. Glatzel R. 27. Selke D.	1. Boevink P. (G) 17. Curda L. 20. Gotze F. 4. Brackelmann C. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 5. Castaneda S. 32. Zehnter A. 10. Kostons K. 29. Ansah I. 11. Michel S.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 7. Dompe J. 30. Hefti S. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 12. Mickel T. (G) 24. Perrin L. 10. Pherai I. 14. Reis L. 20. Richter M.	9. Baur M. 39. Grimaldi A. 19. Herrmann L. 33. Hoffmeier M. 8. Kinsombi D. 26. Klaas S. 16. Musliu V. 25. Scheller T. 30. Schubert M. (G)
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Curda L. 🟨,
43', Karabec A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽, Zehnter A. (A),
54', 1 - 1, Glatzel R. ⚽, Karabec A. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Bilbija F. ⚽,
62', Obermair R. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Selke D. ⚽, Katterbach N. (A),
68', Kostons K. ↓, Baur M. ↑,
70', Katterbach N. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
70', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
70', Karabec A. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
75', Brackelmann C. 🟨,
78', Schonlau S. 🟨,
80', Curda L. ↓, Musliu V. ↑,
80', Michel S. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,
81', Muheim M. 🟨,
83', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
83', Selke D. ↓, Reis L. ↑,
87', Ansah I. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Hamburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.24	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	5:0 ✺
31.08.24	Hamburger SV - Preußen Münster	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Hannover - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Meppen - Hamburger SV	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWLW
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.24	Paderborn - Hannover	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	3:3 ✺
01.09.24	Paderborn - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Bremer SV - Paderborn	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
10.05.24	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	1:0
09.12.23	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	1:2
05.05.23	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	2:2
30.10.22	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	2:3
02.04.22	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	1:2
22.10.21	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	1:2
30.01.21	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	3:1

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