Match Info

Date: 31 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Padova		Fano

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.45	3.75	6.5
	1.45	3.65	6.4
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.49	3.95	7.52
	1.5	3.75	6.5
	1.5	3.88	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)	3.71 ↑ (3.43)	6.54 ↑ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
61.5%

Draw
24.6%

Fano
14%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

26.3%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

15.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Padova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Padova - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Padova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Padova is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Padova won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
23.01.21	Imolese - Padova	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Sambenedettese - Padova	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Padova - Modena	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	Gubbio - Padova	0:3 ✺
14.12.20	Padova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWT
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.21	Fano - Perugia	0:0 ✺
16.01.21	Fano - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Triestina - Fano	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Fano - Matelica	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Modena - Fano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.20	Fano - Padova	1:1
12.01.20	Fano - Padova	2:1
01.09.19	Padova - Fano	6:1
29.12.17	Fano - Padova	1:1
03.09.17	Padova - Fano	2:1
29.01.17	Padova - Fano	3:0
13.09.16	Fano - Padova	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Catanzaro - Padova	✺

Padova - Fano