Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday


	Sambenedettese		Padova

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.55
	2.7	2.75	2.65
	2.6	2.75	2.75
	2.8	2.65	2.6
	3.05	2.79	2.75
	2.8	2.75	2.75
	2.85	2.84	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.43)	2.77 ↓ (2.93)	2.67 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
32.8%

Draw
33%

Padova
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

22.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambenedettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sambenedettese - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Padova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sambenedettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
09.01.21	FeralpiSalò - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
23.12.20	Sambenedettese - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Cesena - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
13.12.20	Sambenedettese - Matelica	2:3 ✺
06.12.20	Triestina - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLLW
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.20	Padova - Modena	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	Gubbio - Padova	0:3 ✺
14.12.20	Padova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
06.12.20	Ravenna - Padova	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Padova - Vis Pesaro	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
30.06.20	Padova - Sambenedettese	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.19	Padova - Sambenedettese	2:0
03.02.18	Padova - Sambenedettese	1:1
24.09.17	Sambenedettese - Padova	0:1
23.12.16	Padova - Sambenedettese	1:0
11.10.16	Sambenedettese - Padova	2:0

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