Match Info

Date: 17 November 2021, Wednesday


	Paide U21		Tallinna Kalev

	1	X	2
	5.25	5	1.38
	4.75	4.33	1.5
	5.2	4.9	1.41
	4.98	5.49	1.44
	5.25	4.6	1.4
	5.25	5.25	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (3.51)	4.93 ↑ (4.02)	1.42 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide U21
17.7%

Draw
18.4%

Tallinna Kalev
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

22.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

18.5%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paide U21's form might have worsened.

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna Kalev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Paide U21 - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Paide U21 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kalev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kalev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kalev have a series of guest games.

In this match Kalev is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paide U21 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Paide U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga
08.11.21	Paide U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:2 ✺
31.10.21	Maardu Linnameeskond - Paide U21	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Paide U21 - Tartu Welco	4:0 ✺
15.10.21	Tammeka U21 - Paide U21	2:2 ✺
03.10.21	Paide U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWTL
- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Cup
14.11.21	Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	3:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
06.11.21	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev	0:2
03.11.21	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev	2:3 ✺
22.10.21	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 77.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
15.09.21	Tallinna Kalev - Paide U21	3:3
01.07.21	Paide U21 - Tallinna Kalev	0:4
15.05.21	Tallinna Kalev - Paide U21	0:2

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