Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Palencia CA		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.82
	4	3.5	1.83
	3.9	3.5	1.86
	3.88	3.38	1.85
	4.2	3.4	1.91
	4.05	3.5	1.86
	3.9	3.5	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.67)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
23.2%

Draw
26.8%

Ibiza
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

26.4%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

19.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ibiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Palencia CA - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Palencia CA is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ibiza has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ibiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ibiza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.11.22	Laredo - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Palencia CA - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Palencia CA - Real Oviedo B	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Real Avilés - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Palencia CA - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Ibiza - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
01.11.22	Ibiza - Leganés	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Burgos - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Ibiza - Levante	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Cartagena - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

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